Administración Trump
administración Trump
administración Trump
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President-elect Donald J. Trump has made big promises on Ukraine, Iran, China and crises around the globe. But he will have to make difficult choices.
Por David E. Sanger
David E. Sanger has covered five American presidents in four decades for The Times. He has written four books on American national security and superpower conflict.
When President Biden defended his foreign policy legacy this month, he said President-elect Donald J. Trump “should take full advantage of our diplomatic and geopolitical opportunities we’ve created,” in countering actions by Russia and China and handling developments in the Middle East.
No es el primer miembro de su dirección en exponer este argumento. En discursos y podcasts, así como en una serie de entrevistas con The New York Times durante las últimas cuatro semanas, muchos miembros de su equipo nacional de seguridad han argumentado que se van. sus sucesores con una globalización en la que los adversarios de Estados Unidos luchan y sus aliados luchan. arriba.
Russia is isolated and bogged down in Ukraine. China is struggling through an economic and demographic downturn. Iran has never been weaker. And finally — after 15 months of intense diplomacy — an Israel-Hamas cease-fire has begun, hostages are set to be released and it is possible to imagine a reshaped Middle East.
It is a self-interested argument, of course, one that warns Mr. Trump, in essence, “Don’t blow it.” Those on Mr. Trump’s team take the opposite view. They say the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan emboldened Vladimir V. Putin, the Russian president, who saw weakness on display; that the Biden administration took its eye off the ball and Iran is now at the threshold of a nuclear weapon; and that however tough the administration was on China, it wasn’t tough enough.
Dejando a un lado ese argumento, hay oportunidades diplomáticas que Trump puede aprovechar, incluso si la historia y las recientes ominosas advertencias recomiendan que simplemente puede apaciguar a sus adversarios y aliados mediante acciones militares amenazadoras. no consigue lo que quiere. (Ver: Irán, Groenlandia, Panamá. )
Here is a scorecard to keep handy in the first few months.
There is very little evidence that Mr. Putin is eager for a deal that would extract him from a war that has already cost Russia nearly 200,000 dead and more than half a million wounded. But the assumption is that he must be looking for an off-ramp. Since his televised debate with Vice President Kamala Harris, Mr. Trump has been promising just that — a deal “in 24 hours,” or even one completed before he takes the oath of office.
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